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Anaplasma spp. Forecast 2021
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDThe CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps represent actual and predicted exposure to both Anaplasma phagocytophilum and Anaplasma platys - infected ticks. The two pathogens are transmitted by different tick vectors (Ixodes spp. and Rhipicephalus sanguineus, respectively) with overlapping geographical ranges. The overlap in ranges prevents distinction between A. phagocytophilum and A. platys on the CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps. Prevention of both requires limiting exposure to tick habitats, routine use of acaricides, and regular tick checks of pets...
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Building the CAPC Forecast
by Dr. Robert Lund PhDAs a mathematician, statistician and Clemson University professor, I have been studying time series and forecasting methods for over 20 years. I helped develop the mathematical models used to assess temperature and hurricane count changes in the United States and enjoy the challenge of analyzing various factors to identify commonalities and trends. ...
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Ehrlichia spp. Forecast 2021
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDNationwide, the high prevalence areas for ehrlichiosis are less well-defined compared to other vector-borne pathogens. The maps represent multiple species within the genus Ehrlichia that may have differing geographical ranges. Nonetheless, prevalence is expected to be above normal for the majority of the United States with some interesting emerging risk areas. ...
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Risk of Exposure to Vector-Borne Pathogens: What to Expect in 2021
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDThe risk of exposure to the pathogens that cause heartworm disease, Lyme disease, ehrlichiosis, and anaplasmosis continues to increase throughout the United States, particularly in areas where the agents are common. ...
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Risk of Exposure to Vector-Borne Pathogens: What to Expect in 2021
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDThe risk of exposure to the pathogens that cause heartworm disease, Lyme disease, ehrlichiosis, and anaplasmosis continues to increase throughout the United States, particularly in areas where the agents are common. ...
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Anaplasma spp. Forecast 2021
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDThe CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps represent actual and predicted exposure to both Anaplasma phagocytophilum and Anaplasma platys - infected ticks. The two pathogens are transmitted by different tick vectors (Ixodes spp. and Rhipicephalus sanguineus, respectively) with overlapping geographical ranges. The overlap in ranges prevents distinction between A. phagocytophilum and A. platys on the CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps. Prevention of both requires limiting exposure to tick habitats, routine use of acaricides, and regular tick checks of pets...
Read More
Ehrlichia spp. Forecast 2021
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDNationwide, the high prevalence areas for ehrlichiosis are less well-defined compared to other vector-borne pathogens. The maps represent multiple species within the genus Ehrlichia that may have differing geographical ranges. Nonetheless, prevalence is expected to be above normal for the majority of the United States with some interesting emerging risk areas. ...
Read More
Building the CAPC Forecast
by Dr. Robert Lund PhDAs a mathematician, statistician and Clemson University professor, I have been studying time series and forecasting methods for over 20 years. I helped develop the mathematical models used to assess temperature and hurricane count changes in the United States and enjoy the challenge of analyzing various factors to identify commonalities and trends. ...
Read More