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Elevated risk of heartworm disease and Lyme disease continues in 2018
by Michael J Yabsley MS, PhD, FRESFor the fourth year in a row, the Companion Animal Parasite Council (CAPC) forecasts heartworm infection prevalence to be above normal across virtually the entire United States. Unfortunately, 2017’s above normal forecast panned out. This increase was partially attributed to the hot and wet weather that occurred in 2016, (mosquitoes like these conditions), and in 2017 weather was again hot and wet. Moreover, infected dogs act as “reservoirs of infection”, increasing the number of infected mosquitoes and ultimately spreading the parasite to other dogs. CAPC is concerned with this annual increase in numbers of cases. Nationally, prevalence rates have risen each of the last five years and are now up 20% from 2013 levels. ...
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Anaplasma spp. Forecast 2018
by Michael J Yabsley MS, PhD, FRESAnaplasmosis is a tick-borne disease that can affect dogs, horses, and humans. While CAPC is forecasting an average year for anaplasmosis activity in most of the US for 2018, veterinarians in Northern California, Western Pennsylvania and New York State should consider annual testing for anaplasmosis and Lyme disease for their patients, as well as tick preventive. An active year is predicted for Northwestern Minnesota. Two bright spots are the Wisconsin/Minnesota border area and the Boston/Cape Cod region: you are expected to see less activity than normal...
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Ehrlichia spp. Forecast 2018
by Michael J Yabsley MS, PhD, FRESNationwide, the high prevalence areas for ehrlichiosis are less well-defined compared to other vector-borne pathogens. The maps represent multiples species of genus Ehrlichia that have differing geographical ranges. Nonetheless, prevalence is expected to be above normal for the majority of the United States. Highlights include those listed below...
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Building the CAPC Forecast
by Robert Lund PhDAs a mathematician, statistician and Clemson University professor, I have been studying time series and forecasting methods for over 20 years. I helped develop the mathematical models used to assess temperature and hurricane count changes in the United States and enjoy the challenge of analyzing various factors to identify commonalities and trends. ...
Read More
Elevated risk of heartworm disease and Lyme disease continues in 2018
by Michael J Yabsley MS, PhD, FRESFor the fourth year in a row, the Companion Animal Parasite Council (CAPC) forecasts heartworm infection prevalence to be above normal across virtually the entire United States. Unfortunately, 2017’s above normal forecast panned out. This increase was partially attributed to the hot and wet weather that occurred in 2016, (mosquitoes like these conditions), and in 2017 weather was again hot and wet. Moreover, infected dogs act as “reservoirs of infection”, increasing the number of infected mosquitoes and ultimately spreading the parasite to other dogs. CAPC is concerned with this annual increase in numbers of cases. Nationally, prevalence rates have risen each of the last five years and are now up 20% from 2013 levels. ...
Read More
Ehrlichia spp. Forecast 2018
by Michael J Yabsley MS, PhD, FRESNationwide, the high prevalence areas for ehrlichiosis are less well-defined compared to other vector-borne pathogens. The maps represent multiples species of genus Ehrlichia that have differing geographical ranges. Nonetheless, prevalence is expected to be above normal for the majority of the United States. Highlights include those listed below...
Read More
Anaplasma spp. Forecast 2018
by Michael J Yabsley MS, PhD, FRESAnaplasmosis is a tick-borne disease that can affect dogs, horses, and humans. While CAPC is forecasting an average year for anaplasmosis activity in most of the US for 2018, veterinarians in Northern California, Western Pennsylvania and New York State should consider annual testing for anaplasmosis and Lyme disease for their patients, as well as tick preventive. An active year is predicted for Northwestern Minnesota. Two bright spots are the Wisconsin/Minnesota border area and the Boston/Cape Cod region: you are expected to see less activity than normal...
Read More
Building the CAPC Forecast
by Robert Lund PhDAs a mathematician, statistician and Clemson University professor, I have been studying time series and forecasting methods for over 20 years. I helped develop the mathematical models used to assess temperature and hurricane count changes in the United States and enjoy the challenge of analyzing various factors to identify commonalities and trends. ...
Read More