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2022 Anaplasma spp. Forecast
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDThe CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps represent actual and predicted exposure to both Anaplasma phagocytophilum and Anaplasma platys - infected ticks. The two pathogens are transmitted by different tick vectors (Ixodes spp. and Rhipicephalus sanguineus, respectively) with overlapping geographical ranges. The overlap in ranges prevents distinction between A. phagocytophilum and A. platys on the CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps. Prevention of both requires limiting exposure to tick habitats, routine use of acaricides, and regular tick checks of pets...
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2022 Annual Pet Parasite Forecasts
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDPathogens that cause heartworm disease, Lyme disease, ehrlichiosis, and anaplasmosis continue to spread throughout the United States in 2022. Risks have increased due to rehoming of pets, changes in distribution and prevalence of vector populations, changes in wildlife populations and their incursion into newly developed and reclaimed areas, changes in habitat due to natural or human-induced processes, and the short and long-term changes in climatic conditions. Ticks and mosquitoes remain the principal transmitters of pet and human vector-borne pathogens. ...
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2022 Ehrlichia spp. Forecast
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDNationwide, the high prevalence areas for ehrlichiosis are less well-defined compared to other vector-borne pathogens. The maps represent multiples species of genus Ehrlichia that have differing geographical ranges. Nonetheless, prevalence is expected to be above normal for the majority of the United States with some interesting emerging risk areas. ...
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Building the CAPC Forecast
by Dr. Robert Lund PhDAs a mathematician, statistician and Clemson University professor, I have been studying time series and forecasting methods for over 20 years. I helped develop the mathematical models used to assess temperature and hurricane count changes in the United States and enjoy the challenge of analyzing various factors to identify commonalities and trends. ...
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2022 Annual Pet Parasite Forecasts
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDPathogens that cause heartworm disease, Lyme disease, ehrlichiosis, and anaplasmosis continue to spread throughout the United States in 2022. Risks have increased due to rehoming of pets, changes in distribution and prevalence of vector populations, changes in wildlife populations and their incursion into newly developed and reclaimed areas, changes in habitat due to natural or human-induced processes, and the short and long-term changes in climatic conditions. Ticks and mosquitoes remain the principal transmitters of pet and human vector-borne pathogens. ...
Read More
2022 Ehrlichia spp. Forecast
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDNationwide, the high prevalence areas for ehrlichiosis are less well-defined compared to other vector-borne pathogens. The maps represent multiples species of genus Ehrlichia that have differing geographical ranges. Nonetheless, prevalence is expected to be above normal for the majority of the United States with some interesting emerging risk areas. ...
Read More
2022 Anaplasma spp. Forecast
by Byron Blagburn MS, PhDThe CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps represent actual and predicted exposure to both Anaplasma phagocytophilum and Anaplasma platys - infected ticks. The two pathogens are transmitted by different tick vectors (Ixodes spp. and Rhipicephalus sanguineus, respectively) with overlapping geographical ranges. The overlap in ranges prevents distinction between A. phagocytophilum and A. platys on the CAPC Prevalence and Forecast Maps. Prevention of both requires limiting exposure to tick habitats, routine use of acaricides, and regular tick checks of pets...
Read More
Building the CAPC Forecast
by Dr. Robert Lund PhDAs a mathematician, statistician and Clemson University professor, I have been studying time series and forecasting methods for over 20 years. I helped develop the mathematical models used to assess temperature and hurricane count changes in the United States and enjoy the challenge of analyzing various factors to identify commonalities and trends. ...
Read More